The Transport Innovation Paradox

41
29



Is innovation in transport accelerating or is progress stagnating? It seems that both are popular themes, but how can they both be true?

SpaceX’s Earth to Earth travel, Hyperloop between cities, The Boring company’s 3D underground tunnels, Uber’s Air Taxi service; are these the future of transport, or just over-hyped fantasies? If any of these are going to be viable in the near future, then surely it would be obvious by now.

These technologies are supposed to be just a few years away, but can that really be true? Upcoming videos will explore the viability of these technologies, but first we need to understand how some people appear so certain that this tech is imminent, while others are adamant it will never work.

We must understand the Transport Innovation Paradox.

Next video:
The first video of a new series on the future of energy. This series will be looking at the viability and future opportunities of various energy technologies, from renewables to various types of nuclear.

Other Videos:

Is Innovation Slowing Down:

Does Vertical Farming Work:

Patreon:
A few people have requested that I setup a Patreon, but I don’t really want to do that until I can ensure that I post videos at least monthly as I don’t want anyone donating if I’m not posting content. Someone suggested I do a research livestream, as an opportunity to interact with subscribers and discuss topics related to future videos, there also the possibility to donate through superchat for those who wish to. This seems like a good idea that is worth testing, I don’t know how many viewers such a livestream would get, but it could be fun in the gaps between main videos.

Source Documentation:
I’m looking to build the source documentation for each individual technology so it doesn’t all get muddled together. So there will be a source and calculation document coming with the air taxi series for example. I want to make this a key part of my series going forward, with the option for people to contribute ideas/data etc. down the line. Something that anyone could contribute to and use for their own purposes.

Discord:
There have been a few people joining the discord channel the last few weeks, so if you have any information/ideas you want to share, or just want to talk about technology, this is a good place to do it.

Music

KIRA – New World
Track: KIRA – New World [NCS Release]
Music provided by NoCopyrightSounds.
Watch:
Free Download / Stream:

Lost Within – A Himitsu
Lost Within by A Himitsu
Creative Commons — Attribution 3.0 Unported— CC BY 3.0

Music promoted by Audio Library

Last Summer – Ikson
Last Summer by Ikson:
Music promoted by Audio Library

Pyres – Broken Elegance
Pyres by Broken Elegance
Creative Commons — Attribution 3.0 Unported— CC BY 3.0

Music promoted by Audio Library

SAX – MBB
Sax by MBB
Creative Commons — Attribution-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported — CC BY-SA 3.0
Free Download / Stream:
Music promoted by Audio Library

Images

Quartsoft: Mobile Phone Historic Technologies Infographic

YouTube Footage:

The Boring Company

SpaceX

Ford Model T – The Wheel Network

Virgin Galactic

Blue Origin

Volvo Cars

Selective Attention Gorilla

Apple IphoneX

Airbus Vahana

Opener

Uber

EHang

Volocopter

British Airways

Amazon

Hyperloop One

Hyperloop Transportation Technologies

OneWeb

#FutureTransport #Innovation #Technology

Nguồn: https://thrifttrader.org

Xem thêm bài viết khác: https://thrifttrader.org/the-thao/

41 comments

  1. JoaoG R 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    as cars are used way more often by Uber & such platforms, & these platforms require the cars to be new, car builders are expecting their sales to raise with this transport revolution. there are nice articles written about it in good car websites, Visualpolitik (a geopolitics YT channel) even made a vid on it.

  2. Sebastien Leblanc 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Very reminiscent of Taleb's black swans! I would have liked the inclusion of a discussion on the history and projections of demand for transport. You mention the trend of lowering cost of transportation, how does that affect demand? How elastic is that relationship? In any case great topic, it got me thinking..

  3. Canada Bob 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Can't wait to see this channel blow up ! You're doing amazing job, it's going to happen quickly.

  4. jandav 126 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    I don’t get why aren’t you much more popular. Your quality of content is amazing, and I hope more people will come to your channel.

  5. Ande Glenderson 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    I've just been through my Uber receipts from the past 8 months and it doesn't look much like a sharing economy to me. Just a more stealth way of taking. There's convergence alright. It's all happening at the top. We congratulate ourselves on giving every child from an impoverished African town an iPad yet most go without drinkable running water. I do applaud you on your fantastic content and delivery. Just feel the technology should be used without a profit motive

  6. John theux 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Here is a quote from Jeff bezos about amazon:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GQ98hGUe6FM&t=1237s

  7. John theux 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    You can't predict the future, it emerge from different inventions.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rvskMHn0sqQ
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16W7c0mb-rE

  8. Viktor von DOOM 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    10:24 Example #1: World War II (research on weapons) lead to the creation of the rockets that went to the moon

  9. D Gam 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    the car analogy is bad, cars were made safer by doubling their weight,this isnt a straight improvement. electric cars wont beat combustion in this century
    also the increase in satellites was beyond obvious to everyone sinse forever they are just too useful

  10. Grambo 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    What are your thoughts on high speed rail and i'm not referring to the hyperloop. And i really hope that ownership of vehicles don't go away cause i really want to go places in what i owned and bought. It all depends on the free market!

  11. Trahloc 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Good work dude. Hopefully you'll get a chance to collaborate with one of the big channels to get more exposure because you absolutely deserve it for information and quality of production. In the meantime I'll appreciate my boutique experience before you make it huge. 🙂

  12. Pulen MinusTV 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    In my maby 10 years on youtube I have never made a single comment. Brother, you do not know how lucky I feel finding this chanel.. You are putting out content with your original touch to it, which makes it so amazing to watch. When I saw how many subs you have I nearly fell down – Impossible I said! Putting so much effort, into editing, making a script, just taking so much information in and turning it into a great product. You are combining so many different details to make your video at this level. You just deserve millions of subs and if you keep up with this quality I feel like you'll be massive hit before 2021. Keep it up! Amazing, just amazing!

  13. Jeff Harmed 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Great work much appreciated. Love technology such as EVs but hate anything impinging on our personal freedom such as autonomous vehicles.

  14. Van Ivanov 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    I don't think anyone suggests that all technological development is coming to a screeching halt. But the religiously optimistic ideas of everything going up, up, up, from computing to travel speed, to stocks and economy…. is hogwash.

    The upcoming innovations are interesting, but sadly I think these are going to be disappointing in their arrival, and take decades before they're even viable.

  15. penguinswithdynamite 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    The internal combustion engine is an example of a convergent technology, at the end of the 19th century steel became of high enough quality to withstand the pressures and temperatures of internal combustion. Also a better understanding of electromagnetism enabled the creation of spark plugs and magnetos, without which petroleum powered ICE's wouldn't be possible. Not essential but important for practical engines are lead-acid cell batteries and high power density start motors, which were developed around this time.

  16. XEmpire 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Just came across you work its great research and editing, only criticism is you could clam down with the music a bit.

  17. RocketLasso 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Found this channel a few weeks ago and burned through the videos, thought it was a dead channel and was sad. Glad to see it's alive!

  18. Christian Gabor 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    It seems like latency isn't necessarily speeding up at an accelerating rate, but throughput is increasing. As we increase the transport speed of total humans and total goods there is a huge economic impact. For example, if you wanted a niche item, decades ago it may have taken weeks of months to get in your hands. Today you can get it in 2 days on amazon prime.

    Another factor is total transportation throughput vs cost of energy. As we get electric vehicles, we can see the the total cost of transportation for kg of weight is decreasing. You can travel much farther on the cost of electric potential energy than the cost of diesel fuel. Autonomous vehicles also reduces the cost of transportation, because it removes human labor and could potentially reduce traffic.

    If you look at the speed of computers over the past several decades, the major speedup wasn't just because of increased transistor count. The main reasons for speedups were better utilization, such as pipe-lining, energy efficiency, intelligent scheduling algorithms in caches, etc. All these things helped speed up computer throughput by 50-100x. The same is happening to the transportation industry, so increasing the efficiency of transportation can give us that 10x-100x increase in transportation throughput even if total speeds per individual item stay the same.

  19. Dennis Richards 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Things to watch out for in the future . . . For good . .. or bad reasons.
    Robotics (broad scale)
    AI
    VR/AR

  20. Zachary Cohn 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Loved the video! It's really well done; you deserve more subs. If I may make a suggestion: you're green screen looks a bit amateurish. Maybe pick a static background?

  21. Skrollz 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    This channel is great, I can't believe such interesting takes and high quality videos aren't more popular!

  22. Isolanporzellator 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    In my opinion there are 3 major questions to ask if you're pondering whether or not a technology/idea/product will take off (in descending order of importance):

    1: What's the end goal/best case scenario for the technology – is it better than what already exists? (An unfortunately prominent example that fails in this question is the idea to put solar panels on roads/pavement, which is just stupid because their fixed angle towards the sun already makes the panels less efficient than regular tracking solar panels, even if all other issues aren't taken into consideration. A lot of modern transportation ideas actually fail in this question, too – because they're simply not appealing. Take Musks Boring Company for example, where the vision initially presented was basically just a metro for your car. Something that would only see fringe use even if everything worked out perfectly, because most of the time you simply don't wanna take your car with you if you take the metro.)

    2: Is it scientifically possible to reach that end goal? (Sometimes a bit harder to judge, but you'd be surprised how many "innovations" get thrown out there that are just nonsense on a conceptual level, be it because they break the laws of thermodynamics or because simple oversights condemn them to a low efficiency like in the aforementioned example).

    3: Is it economically feasible? (This is the hardest factor to judge – because it changes with time. Assessing economic viability usually involves looking at price trends and potential progress with materials & manufacturing techniques. If the technology is very appealing, it's safe to say that a lot of effort will be put into making it econmically viable, greatly increasing the chance it will eventually become reality.)

    If all of these questions can be answered in a satisfactory manner it's a question of when rather than if. Unless an alternative idea comes around and takes the cake, that is.
    Obviously these questions are pretty vague, but I think it's a good place to start your argument from and most importantly helps you recognize bad ideas when you see them.

  23. Dreinapl 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    I am genuinely looking forward to your patreon! I really want to support you and your awesome work 💖

  24. The_Expest 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    I'm so glad this channel is back!
    I'm telling friends about it and they don't believe such high quality videos are made by a channel that is not even at the millions of subs, hope to see you grow soon ^^

  25. Deanna W 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Very excited to call my autonomous car via my phone to take me to work

    Ok but imagine like…. putting your schedule into a transport app and it just has an autonomous carpool pick you up in the morning and drop you off at the optimal times for everyone? Personalized public transport

  26. Jonas P. 25 May, 2020 at 17:40 Reply

    Dude, you just made my Day, this Video had such an uplifting conotation to it and after all the bad news lately this is something that got my out of a little hole i had dug myself, awsome Video!

Leave a reply